Early Warning Satellites Ready for Challenge . . .
STORM FORECAST!
Australian and United States military staff at the Joint Defence Facility
at Nurrungar in Woomera (SA) are preparing for a storm from outer space.
They're expecting a storm of Leonids – dust sized 'comet crumbs' which
trail Comet 55P/Tempel Tuttle.
Potential for Leonids showers (fewer than 1,000 entries to Earth's
atmosphere per hour) occur annually.
Storms of Leonids (more than 1,000 entries per hour) such as
the one expected early next Wednesday morning (Nov 18) occur only once
every 33 years.
Leonids don't pose a threat to what's on earth: in fact the particles
burning up as they strike Earth's atmosphere provide quite a spectacle
– like a shower of stars.
And they didn't pose much of a threat last time there was a Leonid storm
– in 1964 . . . because there were very few satellites.
But they do threaten the estimated 300 to 400 satellites now circling
Earth.
While they have the potential to damage virtually any satellite, the
main concern for the Joint Defence Facility Nurrungar (JDFN) – which plays
a vital role in missile warning – is the potential 'sandblasting' of their
Defence Support Program (DSP) satellites.
"The consequences of a meteoroid strike on a satellite range from unnoticeable
to catastrophic," said the Deputy Commander JDFN, Wing Commander Jim Walker.
"Their velocity is about 72 kilometres per second.
"Fortunately, the particles are generally small and the likelihood of
one greater than the thickness of a paperclip striking a satellite is
less than 0.1 per cent."
"However, there is a high probability – 90 to 95 per cent – that particles
less than the thickness of a piece of paper may strike a satellite."
WGCDR Walker said that Australians and Americans have been training
for a potential increase in satellite anomalies which the Leonid storm,
expected between 0511 and 0711 Central Standard Time next Wednesday, could
cause.
"Local engineers drafted contingency plans to mitigate the most probable
anomalies which would result from an impact," he said.
"Satellite operations centre personnel have also compiled a comprehensive
Leonids binder that contains background information from the internet,
recent magazines articles and higher headquarters guidance.
"JDFN staff will convene a special analysis team during the height of
the storm in case there is a meteoroid impact."
WGCDR Walker added that civilian contractors, who assist the Australian
and US Defence personnel in attending to the well-being of satellites,
will increase satellite 'state-of-health' monitoring and that contractors
and satellite operators will independently watch for malfunctions.
"Colonel Thomas Meade, the Commander of the JDFN and I have a great
team to handle any eventuality," he said. "All JDFN personnel have trained
hard to prepare for the upcoming Leonids storm which is likely to peak
for between two and three minutes within the two hours when the event
will take place.
"While some workers will be locked inside, sweating out the storm, many
Woomerites plan to head into the Donga or bush to take advantage of their
remote location and enjoy the beauty of the spectacle."
Further information . . .
Tony Underwood: (02) 62652703, (0419) 213 885
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